Serie B Gameweek 34
Apr 12, 2026 4.15pm
Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia vs Mantova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 6.30pm
Carrarese 3 - 1 Spezia
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Gabriele Artistico

Mantova

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 2.00pm
Mantova 1 - 0 Virtus Entella
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Davide Bragantini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spezia win with a probability of 47.6%. A draw has a probability of 26.91% and a win for Mantova has a probability of 25.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.57%) , while for a Mantova win it is 0-1 (8.02%).

Result

Spezia 47.6% (+0.07)
Draw 26.91% (-0.04)
Mantova 25.45% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.93%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.67% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 29.33% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 45.31%
Under 2.5 54.69%
Over 3.5 23.46% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 76.54% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 12.31%
Under 4.5 87.69%

First Half Winner

Spezia 34.2%
Draw 43.27%
Mantova 22.53%

Team To Score First

Spezia 53.98% (+0.01)
No Goal 8.58% (-0.01)
Mantova 37.44%

Corners

Over 8 60.76% (-0.25)
Equal 8 11.55% (-0.01)
Under 8 27.69% (+0.27)
Over 9 48.68% (-0.21)
Equal 9 12.08% (-0.04)
Under 9 39.24% (+0.25)
Over 10.5 37.16% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 62.84% (+0.15)

Spezia Goals

Over 1.5 42.27% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 57.73% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 17.48% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.52% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.82% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.18% (-0.01)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5 59.77% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 40.23% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 25.36% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 74.64% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 7.96% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 92.04% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Spezia 47.6%
Draw 26.91%
Mantova 25.45%
Spezia
1-0 @ 12.69% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.87%
3-0 @ 4.35% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.3% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.7% (+0.03)
Total : 47.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 8.58% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12% (-0.02)
Total : 26.91%
Mantova
0-1 @ 8.02% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.5% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.6%
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.88% (-0.02)
Total : 25.45%

Head to Head

Serie B
Nov 22, 2025 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie B Gameweek 33
Apr 13, 2025 4.15pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Danilo Martelli
  • Tommaso Maggioni 80' goal
  • Stefano Cella 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Maggioni 90'+4' goal
  • Tommaso Maggioni 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Stefano Cella 90'+7' goal
  • goal Giuseppe Aurelio 18'
  • goal Salvatore Esposito 52'
  • redcard Nicolo Bertola 63'
  • yellowcard Salvatore Elia 66'
  • yellowcard Francesco Cassata 83'
Serie B Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Alberto Picco
  • Arkadiusz Reca 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Salvatore Elia 64' yellowcard
  • Petko Hristov 73' yellowcard
  • Diego Falcinelli 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Simone Trimboli 6'
  • redcard Davide Possanzini 7'
  • yellowcard Fabrizio Brignani 12'
  • goal Alessandro Debenedetti 18'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Mancuso 24'
  • redcard Fabrizio Brignani 30'
  • yellowcard David Wieser 70'
  • yellowcard Matteo Solini 74'