Serie B Gameweek 33
Apr 6, 2026 6.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio dei Marmi
  • Nicolò Calabrese 17' goal
  • Mattia Finotto 23' goal
  • Fabio Abiuso 27' yellowcard
  • Fabio Abiuso 63' goal
  • Niccolò Belloni 70' yellowcard
  • Filippo Distefano 70' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Schiavi 79' yellowcard
  • Devid Eugene Bouah 85' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Rubino 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gianluca Lapadula 46'
  • goal Mattia Valoti 49'
  • yellowcard Christian Comotto 70'
  • yellowcard Emanuele Adamo 70'
  • yellowcard Marco Ruggero 79'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bellemo 85'

Carrarese vs Spezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrarese

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 2.00pm
Bari 0 - 3 Carrarese
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Fabio Abiuso

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 2.00pm
Juve Stabia 3 - 1 Spezia
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Gabriele Artistico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 43.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.57% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 27.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.53%) , while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result

Carrarese 43.74%
Draw 28.57% (+0.04)
Spezia 27.72%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.79% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.91% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 33.09% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 40.27% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 59.73% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 19.33% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 80.63% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 9.51% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 90.49% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Carrarese 28.98%
Draw 47.51%
Spezia 23.51%

Team To Score First

Carrarese 48.16% (-0.02)
No Goal 10.16% (+0.01)
Spezia 41.68%

Corners

Over 8 58.36%
Equal 8 11.68%
Under 8 29.96%
Over 9 46.39%
Equal 9 11.97%
Under 9 41.64%
Over 10.5 35.17%
Under 10.5 64.83%

Carrarese Goals

Over 1.5 36.74% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 63.26% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 13.72% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 86.28% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.08% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.92% (+0.02)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 60.62% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 39.38% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 24.7% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 75.3% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 7.13% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 92.87% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.7%
Under 3.5 98.3%

Score analysis

Carrarese 43.73%
Draw 28.58%
Spezia 27.74%
Carrarese
1-0 @ 13.19%
2-1 @ 9.05%
2-0 @ 8.35%
3-0 @ 3.66%
3-1 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.07% (-0.01)
Total : 43.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.53% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 10.16% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.58%
Spezia
0-1 @ 9.79% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.65%
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 27.74%

Head to Head

Serie B
Aug 24, 2025 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie B Gameweek 22
Jan 19, 2025 4.15pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio dei Marmi
  • Stiven Shpendi 34' yellowcard
  • Filippo Oliana 37' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Schiavi 52' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Schiavi 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rachid Kouda 19'
  • goal Francesco Pio Esposito 20'
  • yellowcard Francesco Pio Esposito 34'
  • goal Francesco Pio Esposito 45'+3'
  • goal Rachid Kouda 50'
  • goal Salvatore Elia 58'
  • yellowcard Luca Vignali 86'
Serie B Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2024 2.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Alberto Picco
  • Petko Hristov 19' yellowcard
  • Francesco Pio Esposito 25' goal
  • Salvatore Esposito 27' yellowcard
  • Arkadiusz Reca 42' yellowcard
  • Salvatore Esposito 49' goal
  • Francesco Pio Esposito 62' goal
  • Petko Hristov 83' goal
  • goal Leonardo Cerri 6'
  • yellowcard Samuel Giovane 23'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Cerri 29'
  • yellowcard Devid Bouah 65'
  • yellowcard Filippo Oliana 72'
  • goal Filippo Oliana 75'