Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avellino win with a probability of 51.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.19% and a win for Bari had a probability of 22.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Avellino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%) , while for a Bari win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.