Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 50.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.57% and a win for Bari had a probability of 22.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%) , while for a Bari win it was 1-0 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.