Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 67.54%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Juve Stabia had a probability of 11.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.59%) and 2-1 (10.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%) , while for a Juve Stabia win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.