Serie B Gameweek 34
Apr 11, 2026 6.30pm
U-Power Stadium

Monza vs Bari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 2.00pm
Catanzaro 1 - 1 Monza
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Andrea Petagna

Bari

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 2.00pm
Bari 3 - 1 Modena
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Emanuele Rao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Monza win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw has a probability of 24.17% and a win for Bari has a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.28%) , while for a Bari win it is 0-1 (6.28%).

Result

Monza 59.71% (-0.04)
Draw 24.17%
Bari 16.08% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.78% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.98% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 30.02% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 44.47% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 55.53% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 22.78% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 77.22% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 12.91% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.09% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Monza 40.84%
Draw 42.21%
Bari 16.95%

Team To Score First

Monza 62.33% (+0.02)
No Goal 8.66% (-0.03)
Bari 29.01% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 67.3% (+0.10)
Equal 8 10.42% (-0.02)
Under 8 22.28% (-0.08)
Over 9 55.81% (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.49% (-0.02)
Under 9 32.7% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 44.24% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 55.76% (-0.11)

Monza Goals

Over 1.5 49.79% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 50.21% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 23.23%
Under 2.5 76.77%
Over 3.5 8.54% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 91.46% (+0.02)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5 49.08% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 50.92% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 16.28% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 83.72% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 3.78% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 96.22% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 0.71% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.29% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Monza 59.71%
Draw 24.17%
Bari 16.09%
Monza
1-0 @ 15.05% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 11.93% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 10.04%
3-0 @ 6.72% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.2% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.24% (+0.02)
Other @ 8.53% (-0.03)
Total : 59.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.28% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.66% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.69% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.17%
Bari
0-1 @ 6.28%
1-2 @ 4.27%
0-2 @ 2.3% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.7% (+0.02)
Total : 16.09%

Head to Head

Serie B
Aug 31, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT