Serie B
Apr 11, 2026 6.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Pedro Obiang 50' goal
  • Leonardo Colombo 66' yellowcard
  • Adam Bakoune 67' yellowcard
  • Giuseppe Caso 67' yellowcard
  • Matteo Pessina 79' goal
  • Agustín Álvarez 83' yellowcard
  • Andrea Carboni 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mehdi Dorval 66'
  • yellowcard Moussa Mané 66'
  • yellowcard Matthias Verreth 66'
  • yellowcard Marvin Cuni 82'
  • yellowcard Nicolò Cavuoti 82'
  • yellowcard Christian Gytkjaer 83'

Monza vs Bari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 2.00pm
Catanzaro 1 - 1 Monza
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Andrea Petagna

Bari

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 2.00pm
Bari 3 - 1 Modena
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Emanuele Rao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.17% and a win for Bari had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%) , while for a Bari win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result

Monza 59.71% (-0.04)
Draw 24.17%
Bari 16.08% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.78% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.98% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 30.02% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 44.47% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 55.53% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 22.78% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 77.22% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 12.91% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.09% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Monza 40.84%
Draw 42.21%
Bari 16.95%

Team To Score First

Monza 62.33% (+0.02)
No Goal 8.66% (-0.03)
Bari 29.01% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 67.3% (+0.10)
Equal 8 10.42% (-0.02)
Under 8 22.28% (-0.08)
Over 9 55.81% (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.49% (-0.02)
Under 9 32.7% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 44.24% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 55.76% (-0.11)

Monza Goals

Over 1.5 49.79% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 50.21% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 23.23%
Under 2.5 76.77%
Over 3.5 8.54% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 91.46% (+0.02)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5 49.08% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 50.92% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 16.28% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 83.72% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 3.78% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 96.22% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 0.71% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.29% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Monza 59.71%
Draw 24.17%
Bari 16.09%
Monza
1-0 @ 15.05% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 11.93% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 10.04%
3-0 @ 6.72% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.2% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.24% (+0.02)
Other @ 8.53% (-0.03)
Total : 59.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.28% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.66% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.69% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.17%
Bari
0-1 @ 6.28%
1-2 @ 4.27%
0-2 @ 2.3% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.7% (+0.02)
Total : 16.09%

Head to Head

Serie B
Aug 31, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT