Serie B Gameweek 36
Apr 24, 2026 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Samuele Birindelli 27' goal
  • Hernani 56' yellowcard
  • Giuseppe Caso 56' yellowcard
  • Dany Mota 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bryant Nieling 46'
  • yellowcard Niklas Pyyhtiä 57'
  • yellowcard Pedro Mendes 66'
  • yellowcard Francesco Zampano 66'
  • yellowcard Matteo Cotali 78'

Monza vs Modena - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions
Last game
Apr 17, 2026 7.30pm
Sampdoria 0 - 3 Monza
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Andrea Petagna

Modena

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 2.00pm
Modena 1 - 2 Frosinone
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Ettore Gliozzi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Modena had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (7.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result

Monza 44.82%
Draw 26.83%
Modena 28.35%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.6%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.93% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 27.07% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 47.65%
Under 2.5 52.35%
Over 3.5 25.19%
Under 3.5 74.81%
Over 4.5 13.39% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.61% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Monza 32.06%
Draw 43.54%
Modena 24.4%

Team To Score First

Monza 51.53%
No Goal 7.93%
Modena 40.54%

Corners

Over 8 63.56%
Equal 8 10.88%
Under 8 25.56%
Over 9 51.94%
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 36.44%
Over 10.5 40.59%
Under 10.5 59.41%

Monza Goals

Over 1.5 41.71% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 58.29% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 17.12% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 82.88% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.7% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.3% (-0.02)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5 63.38% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 36.62% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 28.9% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 71.1% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 9.87% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.13% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.6% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.4% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Monza 44.83%
Draw 26.83%
Modena 28.36%
Monza
1-0 @ 11.18%
2-1 @ 9.64%
2-0 @ 8.06%
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-0 @ 3.92%
3-2 @ 2.34%
Other @ 5.55%
Total : 44.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 7.93%
2-2 @ 5.01%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.15% (+0.01)
Total : 26.83%
Modena
0-1 @ 7.98%
1-2 @ 7.19%
0-2 @ 4.49%
1-3 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 28.36%

Head to Head

Serie B
Dec 26, 2025 4.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Davide Adorni 16' yellowcard
  • Davide Adorni 17' yellowcard
  • Ettore Gliozzi 40' goal
  • Francesco Zampano 44' yellowcard
  • Daniel Tonoli 90'+1' yellowcard
  • 91' yellowcard
  • Gady-Pierre Beyuku Bowutankoyi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Keita Balde 18'
  • yellowcard Andrea Sottil 18'
  • yellowcard Armando Izzo 39'
  • yellowcard Matteo Pessina 44'
  • goal Paulo Azzi 50'
  • goal Luca Ravanelli 65'
  • yellowcard Paolo Bianco 77'
  • yellowcard Patrick Ciurria 87'