Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 36.44%. A win for Modena had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 29.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Modena win was 1-0 (10.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.