Serie B
May 1, 2026 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Danilo Martelli
  • Rachid Kouda 23' goal
  • Leonardo Mancuso 35' goal
  • César Falletti 73' yellowcard
  • Flavio Paoletti 73' yellowcard
  • Nicolò Buso 80' yellowcard
  • David Wieser 80' yellowcard
  • Fahem Benaïssa 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Adam Bakoune 56'
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Caso 56'
  • yellowcard Hernani 56'
  • yellowcard Dany Mota 65'
  • yellowcard Agustín Álvarez 73'
  • goal Lorenzo Lucchesi 78'
  • goal Dany Mota 88'

Mantova vs Monza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mantova

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 2.00pm
Sudtirol 0 - 3 Mantova
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Davide Bragantini

Monza

All competitions
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 6.00pm
Monza 1 - 0 Modena
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Andrea Petagna

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Mantova win was 1-0 (8.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result

Mantova 27.46% (-0.02)
Draw 26.69% (-0.01)
Monza 45.85%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.53%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.74% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 27.26% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 47.8%
Under 2.5 52.2%
Over 3.5 25.68% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 74.32% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.67% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 86.33% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Mantova 23.55% (-0.02)
Draw 44.88%
Monza 31.56% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Mantova 35.86% (+0.02)
No Goal 8.05% (-0.01)
Monza 56.09% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 52.11% (+0.05)
Equal 8 12.4% (-0.02)
Under 8 35.49% (-0.04)
Over 9 40.01% (+0.06)
Equal 9 12.1% (-0.01)
Under 9 47.89% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 29.22% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 70.78% (-0.07)

Mantova Goals

Over 1.5 28.08% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 71.92% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 9.36% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 90.64% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.39% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.61% (-0.02)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5 75.49% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 24.51% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 42.77% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 57.23% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 18.19% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 81.81% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.11% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.89% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Mantova 27.47%
Draw 26.7%
Monza 45.86%
Mantova
1-0 @ 8.13%
2-1 @ 6.77% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.42%
3-1 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 1.75%
3-0 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 27.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 8.05% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13% (+0.02)
Total : 26.7%
Monza
0-1 @ 11.11% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.12%
1-3 @ 4.5% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.03%
2-3 @ 2.47% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.98% (+0.02)
Total : 45.86%

Head to Head

Serie B
Aug 23, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT