Serie B
Apr 25, 2026 2.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Marco Druso
  • Silvio Merkaj 46' yellowcard
  • Emanuele Pecorino 46' yellowcard
  • Marco Frigerio 56' yellowcard
  • Hamza El Kaouakibi 56' yellowcard
  • Domen Črnigoj 72' yellowcard
  • goal Simone Trimboli 35'
  • goal Tommaso Marras 41'
  • yellowcard Nicolò Radaelli 63'
  • yellowcard César Falletti 63'
  • yellowcard Flavio Paoletti 72'
  • yellowcard David Wieser 72'
  • yellowcard Nicolò Buso 82'
  • goal David Wieser 83'

Sudtirol vs Mantova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudtirol

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 2.00pm
Spezia 6 - 1 Sudtirol
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Emanuele Pecorino

Mantova

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 2.00pm
Mantova 0 - 2 Avellino
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Davide Bragantini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Mantova win was 0-1 (9.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result

Sudtirol 41.9% (-0.04)
Draw 28.28%
Mantova 29.82%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.68% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.01% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 30.99% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 42.95%
Under 2.5 57.05%
Over 3.5 21.99%
Under 3.5 78.01%
Over 4.5 11.05%
Under 4.5 88.95%

First Half Winner

Sudtirol 29.84%
Draw 46.36%
Mantova 23.8%

Team To Score First

Sudtirol 51.64%
No Goal 9.31%
Mantova 39.05%

Corners

Over 8 57.41%
Equal 8 12.09%
Under 8 30.5%
Over 9 45.09%
Equal 9 12.31%
Under 9 42.6%
Over 10.5 33.67%
Under 10.5 66.33%

Sudtirol Goals

Over 1.5 36.86%
Under 1.5 63.14%
Over 2.5 14.21% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.79% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.13% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.87% (-0.01)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5 63.52%
Under 0.5 36.48%
Over 1.5 28.33% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 71.67% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 9.06%
Under 2.5 90.94%
Over 3.5 2.36%
Under 3.5 97.64%

Score analysis

Sudtirol 41.91%
Draw 28.28%
Mantova 29.81%
Sudtirol
1-0 @ 12.34% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-0 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 2.2%
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 41.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.31% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.31%
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.1% (+0.02)
Total : 28.28%
Mantova
0-1 @ 9.34% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.1%
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.44%
0-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.26% (-0.02)
Total : 29.81%

Head to Head

Serie B
Oct 18, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie B Gameweek 31
Mar 29, 2025 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Danilo Martelli
  • Davis Mensah 11' goal
  • Salvatore Burrai 37' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Radaelli 41' goal
  • Marco Festa 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Frederic Veseli 17'
  • yellowcard Luca Belardinelli 27'
  • yellowcard Silvio Merkaj 37'
Serie B Gameweek 17
Dec 14, 2024 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Marco Druso
  • Silvio Merkaj 4' goal
  • Silvio Merkaj 5' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Arrigoni 26' yellowcard
  • Matteo Rover 64' goal
  • Giacomo Poluzzi 68' yellowcard
  • Raphael Kofler 74' yellowcard
  • Andrea Cagnano 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Simone Trimboli 36'
  • yellowcard Federico Artioli 38'
  • goal Francesco Galuppini 41'
  • goal Mattia Aramu 90'