Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 35.82%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 0-1 (11.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.78%).