Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 48.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.99% and a win for Avellino had a probability of 24.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%) , while for a Avellino win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.