Serie B
May 12, 2026 8.00pm
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Catanzaro vs Avellino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Catanzaro

All competitions
Last game
May 8, 2026 7.30pm
Catanzaro 2 - 3 Bari
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Filippo Pittarello

Avellino

All competitions
Last game
May 8, 2026 7.30pm
Avellino 1 - 0 Modena
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Tommaso Biasci

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Catanzaro win with a probability of 48.06%. A draw has a probability of 26.99% and a win for Avellino has a probability of 24.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.76%) , while for a Avellino win it is 0-1 (8.18%).

Result

Catanzaro 48.06% (-0.90)
Draw 26.99% (+0.74)
Avellino 24.95% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.61% (+2.57)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.2% (+0.86)
Under 1.5 28.8% (-0.86)
Over 2.5 45.95% (+1.50)
Under 2.5 54.05% (-1.50)
Over 3.5 23.81% (+0.51)
Under 3.5 76.19% (-0.52)
Over 4.5 12.47% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 87.53% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Catanzaro 32.91% (+32.91)
Draw 45.88% (+45.88)
Avellino 21.21% (+21.21)

Team To Score First

Catanzaro 53.67% (+53.67)
No Goal 8.34% (+8.34)
Avellino 37.99% (+37.99)

Corners

Over 8 54.96% (+54.96)
Equal 8 12.13% (+12.13)
Under 8 32.91% (+32.91)
Over 9 42.88% (+42.88)
Equal 9 12.08% (+12.08)
Under 9 45.04% (+45.04)
Over 10.5 31.89% (+31.89)
Under 10.5 68.11% (+68.11)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 1.5 43.25% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 56.75% (-0.32)
Over 2.5 18.14% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 81.86% (+0.32)
Over 3.5 6.21% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 93.79% (+0.14)

Avellino Goals

Over 0.5 59.97% (+1.58)
Under 0.5 40.03% (-1.58)
Over 1.5 24.88% (+0.95)
Under 1.5 75.12% (-0.95)
Over 2.5 7.62% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 92.38% (-0.47)
Over 3.5 1.74% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.26% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Catanzaro 48.07%
Draw 27%
Avellino 24.93%
Catanzaro
1-0 @ 12.28% (-0.45)
2-1 @ 9.75% (+0.59)
2-0 @ 8.85% (-0.58)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.20)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.23% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.1% (-0.17)
Total : 48.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.76% (+0.40)
0-0 @ 8.34% (-0.30)
2-2 @ 4.95% (+0.50)
Other @ 0.11% (+0.04)
Total : 27%
Avellino
0-1 @ 8.18% (-0.22)
1-2 @ 6.44% (+0.43)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.45)
1-3 @ 1.99% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.56% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 1.49% (+0.17)
Other @ 1.63% (-0.03)
Total : 24.93%

Head to Head

Serie B
Apr 11, 2026 4.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
  • Filippo Missori 46' yellowcard
  • Cosimo Patierno 63' yellowcard
  • Roberto Insigne 63' yellowcard
  • Andrea Favilli 63' yellowcard
  • Andrea Favilli 64' yellowcard
  • Roberto Insigne 64' yellowcard
  • Andrea Favilli 76' yellowcard
  • Andrea Favilli 77' yellowcard
  • Andréa Le Borgne 79' yellowcard
  • Antony Iannarilli 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Marco Pompetti 31'
  • goal Pietro Iemmello 60'
  • yellowcard Gonçalo do Lago Pontes Esteves 79'
  • yellowcard Davide Buglio 79'
  • yellowcard Simone Pontisso 79'
  • yellowcard Ruggero Frosinini 79'
  • yellowcard 79'
  • yellowcard Bruno Verrengia 86'
Serie B
Dec 13, 2025 4.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jacopo Petriccione 20' yellowcard
  • Filippo Pittarello 27' yellowcard
  • Alphadjo Cisse 52' goal
  • Fabio Rispoli 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Filippo Missori 26'
  • yellowcard Michele Besaggio 90'+2'