Serie B Gameweek 38
May 8, 2026 7.30pm
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Catanzaro vs Bari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Catanzaro

All competitions
Last game
May 1, 2026 2.00pm
Palermo 3 - 2 Catanzaro
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Filippo Pittarello

Bari

All competitions
Last game
May 1, 2026 2.00pm
Bari 2 - 0 Virtus Entella
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Emanuele Rao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Catanzaro win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw has a probability of 26.35% and a win for Bari has a probability of 18.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.96%) , while for a Bari win it is 0-1 (6.64%).

Result

Catanzaro 55.35% (+0.01)
Draw 26.35% (-0.02)
Bari 18.24% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.73% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.43% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 31.57% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 44.65% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 55.35% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 24.4% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 75.58%
Over 4.5 14.34% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.66% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Catanzaro 37.11% (+0.02)
Draw 45.1% (-0.04)
Bari 17.78% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Catanzaro 55.77% (+0.09)
No Goal 10.36%
Bari 33.87% (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 67.82% (+0.05)
Equal 8 10.88%
Under 8 21.29% (-0.07)
Over 9 55.65% (+0.04)
Equal 9 12.17% (+0.01)
Under 9 32.18% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 43.36% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 56.64% (-0.02)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 1.5 47.22%
Under 1.5 52.78%
Over 2.5 22.12% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 77.88% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 8.75%
Under 3.5 91.25%

Bari Goals

Over 0.5 50.4% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 49.6% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 18.87%
Under 1.5 81.13%
Over 2.5 5.68%
Under 2.5 94.32%
Over 3.5 1.37% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 98.63% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Catanzaro 55.35%
Draw 26.35%
Bari 18.24%
Catanzaro
1-0 @ 14.51% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.44%
2-1 @ 9.29% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.67%
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 8.56% (+0.01)
Total : 55.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.96%
0-0 @ 10.36%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.19% (-0.02)
Total : 26.35%
Bari
0-1 @ 6.64%
1-2 @ 4.56% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.37%
1-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 18.24%

Head to Head

Serie B
Dec 19, 2025 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Dimitrios Nikolaou 77' yellowcard
  • Nicola Bellomo 90'+3' goal
  • goal Simone Pontisso 30'
  • yellowcard Costantino Favasuli 46'
  • goal Matias Antonini 49'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Brighenti 82'
  • yellowcard Fabio Rispoli 86'
Serie B Gameweek 32
Apr 6, 2025 2.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
  • Pietro Iemmello 44' goal
  • Federico Bonini 69' goal
  • Giacomo Quagliata 83' goal
  • goal Kevin Lasagna 27'
  • yellowcard Boris Radunovic 69'
  • goal Costantino Favasuli 78'
  • goal Andrea Favilli 90'+2'
Serie B Gameweek 9
Oct 18, 2024 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale San Nicola
  • Mehdi Dorval 30' goal
  • Ahmed Benali 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Mattia Maita 62' yellowcard
  • Raffaele Pucino 90' yellowcard
  • redcard Fabio Caserta 0'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Biasci 30'
  • yellowcard Fabio Caserta 31'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Petriccione 45'+1'
  • goal Pietro Iemmello 74'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Buso 90'+5'
Serie B Gameweek 27
Feb 27, 2024 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
  • Jari Vandeputte 4' goal
  • Nicolo Brighenti 53' yellowcard
  • Pietro Iemmello 78' goal
  • Jari Vandeputte 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Valerio Di Cesare 63'
  • yellowcard Francesco Vicari 72'
  • yellowcard Ahmed Benali 90'+2'
Serie B Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 3.15pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stadio Comunale San Nicola
  • Ilias Koutsoupias 28' goal
  • Ilias Koutsoupias 57' goal
  • Davide Diaw 77' yellowcard
  • redcard Vincenzo Vivarini 0'
  • goal Dimitris Sounas 30'
  • goal Luca Verna 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Davide Veroli 55'
  • yellowcard Vincenzo Vivarini 56'
  • yellowcard Kevin Miranda 81'
  • redcard Kevin Miranda 83'
  • yellowcard Andrea Ghion 83'