Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Virtus Entella had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Virtus Entella win was 0-1 (10.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.