Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Virtus Entella win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 26.58% and a win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 21.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Virtus Entella win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%) , while for a Calcio Padova win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.