Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 45.03%. A draw had a probability of 29.35% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%) , while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (8.81%).