Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avellino win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Modena had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Avellino win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (8.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.