Serie B Gameweek 38
May 8, 2026 7.30pm
Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi

Avellino vs Modena - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Avellino

All competitions
Last game
May 1, 2026 2.00pm
Empoli 1 - 0 Avellino
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Tommaso Biasci

Modena

All competitions
Last game
May 1, 2026 2.00pm
Modena 2 - 1 Reggiana
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Ettore Gliozzi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Avellino win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Modena has a probability of 36.08% and a draw has a probability of 27.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Avellino win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Modena win is 0-1 (8.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.51%).

Result

Avellino 36.85%
Draw 27.07%
Modena 36.08% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.73%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.66% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 25.34% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 50.57%
Under 2.5 49.43%
Over 3.5 28.54%
Under 3.5 71.46%
Over 4.5 15.25% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.75% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Avellino 27.46%
Draw 44.94%
Modena 27.6%

Team To Score First

Avellino 45.1%
No Goal 7.28% (-0.01)
Modena 47.62% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.6%
Equal 8 11.68%
Under 8 30.72%
Over 9 45.72%
Equal 9 11.88%
Under 9 42.4%
Over 10.5 34.65%
Under 10.5 65.35%

Avellino Goals

Over 1.5 37.39% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 62.61% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 14.69% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.31% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.59% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.41% (-0.02)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5 70.43% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 29.57% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 37.06% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 62.94% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 14.59% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 85.41% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.58% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.42% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Avellino 36.85%
Draw 27.07%
Modena 36.06%
Avellino
1-0 @ 9.25% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.38% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.99%
3-1 @ 3.69%
3-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 2.51%
Other @ 4.39% (+0.01)
Total : 36.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.28% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 27.07%
Modena
0-1 @ 8.79% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.6% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.47%
Other @ 4.38% (-0.01)
Total : 36.06%

Head to Head

Serie B
Aug 31, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT