Serie B Gameweek 38
May 8, 2026 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
  • Fabrizio Bagheria 44' goal
  • Martin Palumbo 76' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Sgarbi 87' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Biasci 88' yellowcard
  • Justin Kumi 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Grégoire Defrel 46'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Sersanti 46'
  • yellowcard Gady Beyuku 62'
  • yellowcard Tito Maria Fabbri 73'
  • yellowcard Manuel De Luca 79'

Avellino vs Modena - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Avellino

All competitions
Last game
May 1, 2026 2.00pm
Empoli 1 - 0 Avellino
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Tommaso Biasci

Modena

All competitions
Last game
May 1, 2026 2.00pm
Modena 2 - 1 Reggiana
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Ettore Gliozzi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avellino win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Modena had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Avellino win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (8.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Avellino 36.85%
Draw 27.07%
Modena 36.08%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.73%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.66%
Under 1.5 25.34%
Over 2.5 50.57%
Under 2.5 49.43%
Over 3.5 28.54%
Under 3.5 71.46%
Over 4.5 15.26% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 84.74% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Avellino 27.46%
Draw 44.94%
Modena 27.6%

Team To Score First

Avellino 45.1%
No Goal 7.28%
Modena 47.62%

Corners

Over 8 57.6%
Equal 8 11.68%
Under 8 30.72%
Over 9 45.72%
Equal 9 11.88%
Under 9 42.4%
Over 10.5 34.65%
Under 10.5 65.35%

Avellino Goals

Over 1.5 37.39%
Under 1.5 62.61%
Over 2.5 14.7% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.3% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.59%
Under 3.5 95.41%

Modena Goals

Over 0.5 70.44% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 29.56% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 37.07% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 62.93% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 14.6% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.4% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.58%
Under 3.5 95.42%

Score analysis

Avellino 36.85%
Draw 27.08%
Modena 36.06%
Avellino
1-0 @ 9.26% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.38%
2-0 @ 5.98% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.69%
3-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 2.51%
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 36.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.28%
2-2 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.27% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 27.08%
Modena
0-1 @ 8.79%
1-2 @ 8.54%
0-2 @ 5.6%
1-3 @ 3.77%
2-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 2.47%
Other @ 4.38%
Total : 36.06%

Head to Head

Serie B
Aug 31, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT