Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.12% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.1%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%) , while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.