Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 42.86%. A draw had a probability of 28.96% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 28.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%) , while for a Reggiana win it was 1-0 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.