Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pescara win with a probability of 36.11%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pescara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 1-0 (10.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.