Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 27.67% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 22.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%) , while for a Reggiana win it was 1-0 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.