Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.31% and a win for Cesena had a probability of 17.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%) , while for a Cesena win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.