Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juve Stabia win with a probability of 47.87%. A draw had a probability of 28.91% and a win for Cesena had a probability of 23.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juve Stabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%) , while for a Cesena win it was 0-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.