Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (10.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.