Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Catanzaro had a probability of 21.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.43%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%) , while for a Catanzaro win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.