Serie B
May 20, 2026 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 3' goal
  • Giangiacomo Magnani 16' yellowcard
  • Aljosa Vasic 46' yellowcard
  • Rui Modesto 50' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Gyasi 75' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Corona 76' yellowcard
  • Rui Modesto 89' goal
  • yellowcard Federico Di Francesco 46'
  • yellowcard Marco Pompetti 61'
  • yellowcard Ruggero Frosinini 78'
  • yellowcard Fabio Rispoli 78'
  • yellowcard Ervin Bashi 87'
  • yellowcard Ervin Bashi 88'

Palermo vs Catanzaro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palermo

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 7.00pm
Catanzaro 3 - 0 Palermo
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Joel Pohjanpalo

Catanzaro

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 7.00pm
Catanzaro 3 - 0 Palermo
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Filippo Pittarello

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Catanzaro had a probability of 21.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.43%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%) , while for a Catanzaro win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Palermo 54.24%
Draw 24.5% (+0.04)
Catanzaro 21.29%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.3% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.45% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.55% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 51.22% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 48.78% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 29.02% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 70.98% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 16.37% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 83.63% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Palermo 39.13%
Draw 40.9%
Catanzaro 19.97%

Team To Score First

Palermo 61% (-0.01)
No Goal 6.59% (+0.02)
Catanzaro 32.41% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.75%
Equal 8 11.84%
Under 8 33.41%
Over 9 42.97%
Equal 9 11.78%
Under 9 45.25%
Over 10.5 32.22%
Under 10.5 67.78%

Palermo Goals

Over 1.5 50.65% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 49.35% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 23.67% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 76.33% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.86% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 91.14% (+0.04)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5 58.22% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 41.78% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 24.44% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 75.56% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 7.5%
Under 2.5 92.5%
Over 3.5 1.95% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.05% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Palermo 54.23%
Draw 24.5%
Catanzaro 21.28%
Palermo
1-0 @ 11.64% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 10.43%
2-0 @ 9.66% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.53%
3-0 @ 5.2%
3-2 @ 3.07%
Other @ 8.7% (-0.04)
Total : 54.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.49% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.59% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 1.01% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.5%
Catanzaro
0-1 @ 6.33% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.53% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.09%
1-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.64%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.79% (-0.02)
Total : 21.28%

Head to Head

Serie B
May 17, 2026 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
  • Pietro Iemmello 1' goal
  • Pietro Iemmello 15' goal
  • Mattia Liberali 41' goal
  • Ruggero Frosinini 76' yellowcard
  • Marco Pompetti 76' yellowcard
  • Federico Di Francesco 85' yellowcard
  • Fabio Rispoli 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Gyasi 46'
  • yellowcard Dennis Johnsen 52'
  • yellowcard Alexis Blin 60'
  • yellowcard Rui Modesto 61'
  • yellowcard Samuel Giovane 88'
Serie B
May 1, 2026 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Dennis Johnsen 15' goal
  • Tommaso Augello 46' yellowcard
  • Patrick Nuamah 54' goal
  • Aljosa Vasic 63' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Bereszyński 63' yellowcard
  • Patryk Peda 69' yellowcard
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 86' yellowcard
  • Claudio Gomes 88' yellowcard
  • goal Filippo Pittarello 3'
  • goal Filippo Pittarello 32'
  • yellowcard Gabriele Alesi 61'
  • yellowcard N'Dri Koffi 71'
  • yellowcard Fabio Rispoli 71'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Cassandro 87'
  • yellowcard Ervin Bashi 88'
Serie B
Oct 25, 2025 6.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie B Gameweek 35
Apr 27, 2025 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
  • Tommaso Biasci 56' goal
  • Nicolo Brighenti 65' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Cassandro 74' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Bonini 9' (OG)
  • goal Jacopo Segre 26'
  • yellowcard Niccolo Pierozzi 60'
  • goal Jeremy Le Douaron 90'+3'
Serie B Gameweek 17
Dec 15, 2024 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Dimitrios Nikolaou 32' goal
  • Filippo Ranocchia 42' yellowcard
  • Jacopo Segre 86' yellowcard
  • Valerio Verre 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Tommaso Biasci 3'
  • yellowcard Andrea Ceresoli 45'+3'
  • goal Marco Pompetti 82'
Serie B Gameweek 22
Jan 26, 2024 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
  • Tommaso Biasci 29' goal
  • Nicolo Brighenti 77' yellowcard
  • goal Jacopo Segre 48'
  • yellowcard Filippo Ranocchia 76'