Europa League Gameweek 2
Oct 15, 2026 8.00pm
Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
Sturm Graz 0 - 0 Rennes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bournemouth win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Sturm Graz has a probability of 29.12% and a draw has a probability of 25.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.36%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win is 0-1 (7.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.85%).

Result

Bournemouth 45.53% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 25.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Sturm Graz 29.12% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.06%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 26.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 49.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 50.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 28.92% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 71.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.45% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 82.55% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Bournemouth 32.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 37.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Sturm Graz 29.97% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Bournemouth 45.39% ▼ (-0.18)
No Goal 8.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Sturm Graz 46.43% ▲ (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 60.83% ▲ (+0.06)
Equal 8 10.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 28.48% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 49.7% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 9 39.17% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 10.5 39.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 60.99% ▼ (-0.01)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 1.5 42.51% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 57.49% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 19.42% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 80.58% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 7.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.9% ▲ (+0.03)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 60.9% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 39.1% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 30.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 69.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 12.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.86%
Under 3.5 95.14%

Score analysis

Bournemouth 45.54%
Draw 25.31%
Sturm Graz 29.13%
Bournemouth
1-0 @ 11.31% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.36%
2-1 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.8% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 45.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.85% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.64%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 25.31%
Sturm Graz
0-1 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.39%
0-2 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 29.13%