Premier League Gameweek 5
Bournemouth
Sep 20, 2026 2.00pm
Vitality Stadium
Liverpool

Bournemouth vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Bournemouth 2 - 2 Brentford
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Marcus Tavernier

Liverpool

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Liverpool 0 - 0 Fulham
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Alexander Isak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bournemouth win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Liverpool has a probability of 35.28% and a draw has a probability of 26.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Liverpool win is 0-1 (8.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.92%).

Result

Bournemouth 38.26% ▲ (+1.29)
Draw 26.46% ▲ (+0.41)
Liverpool 35.28% ▼ (-1.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.24% ▲ (+0.78)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.97% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 1.5 25.03% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 2.5 51.15% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 2.5 48.85% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 3.5 29.07% ▲ (+0.97)
Under 3.5 70.93% ▼ (-0.97)
Over 4.5 16.43% ▲ (+0.60)
Under 4.5 83.57% ▼ (-0.61)

First Half Winner

Bournemouth 33.48% ▲ (+2.30)
Draw 41.24% ▲ (+1.68)
Liverpool 25.27% ▼ (-4.00)

Team To Score First

Bournemouth 49.49% ▲ (+6.25)
No Goal 7.39% ▼ (-0.11)
Liverpool 43.12% ▼ (-6.14)

Corners

Over 8 57.56% ▼ (-5.19)
Equal 8 11.41% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 8 31.03% ▲ (+4.88)
Over 9 45.95% ▼ (-5.02)
Equal 9 11.61% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 9 42.44% ▲ (+5.19)
Over 10.5 35.1% ▼ (-4.45)
Under 10.5 64.9% ▲ (+4.45)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 1.5 39.05% ▲ (+1.97)
Under 1.5 60.95% ▼ (-1.97)
Over 2.5 16.02% ▲ (+1.60)
Under 2.5 83.98% ▼ (-1.60)
Over 3.5 5.67% ▲ (+1.08)
Under 3.5 94.33% ▼ (-1.08)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 69.24% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 0.5 30.76% ▲ (+0.63)
Over 1.5 36.21% ▼ (-1.09)
Under 1.5 63.79% ▲ (+1.09)
Over 2.5 14.3% ▼ (-1.23)
Under 2.5 85.7% ▲ (+1.24)
Over 3.5 4.57% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 3.5 95.43% ▲ (+0.68)

Score analysis

Bournemouth 38.27%
Draw 26.46%
Liverpool 35.28%
Bournemouth
1-0 @ 8.96% ▼ (-0.23)
2-1 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 6.06% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.36)
3-0 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 5.5% ▲ (+1.01)
Total : 38.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.92% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.31)
3-3 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.17% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 26.46%
Liverpool
0-1 @ 8.69% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.31)
0-2 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.30)
0-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.34)
2-3 @ 2.59%
Other @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.73)
Total : 35.28%

Head to Head

Premier League
Bournemouth
Jan 24, 2026 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Vitality Stadium
Liverpool
  • Evanilson 26' goal
  • Álex Jiménez 33' goal
  • Ryan Christie 67' yellowcard
  • Alex Tóth 85' yellowcard
  • Enes Ünal 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Amine Adli 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Wataru Endo 34'
  • goal Virgil van Dijk 45'
  • yellowcard Andrew Robertson 46'
  • yellowcard Hugo Ekitiké 59'
  • yellowcard Curtis Jones 59'
  • yellowcard Rio Ngumoha 74'
  • goal Dominik Szoboszlai 80'
Premier League
Liverpool
Aug 15, 2025 8.00pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Bournemouth
Premier League Gameweek 24
Bournemouth
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Vitality Stadium
Liverpool
  • Ryan Christie 48' yellowcard
  • Dean Huijsen 55' yellowcard
  • Andoni Iraola 76' yellowcard
  • goal Mohamed Salah 30'
  • yellowcard Ryan Gravenberch 49'
  • yellowcard Alexis Mac Allister 54'
  • yellowcard Virgil van Dijk 66'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 75'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Liverpool
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Anfield
Bournemouth
  • Luis Diaz 26' goal
  • Luis Diaz 28' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 37' goal
  • Ibrahima Konate 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Christie 1'
  • yellowcard Justin Kluivert 18'
  • yellowcard Andoni Iraola 26'
  • yellowcard Dean Huijsen 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Lewis Cook 87'
Premier League Gameweek 21
Bournemouth
Jan 21, 2024 4.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT Vitality Stadium
Liverpool
  • Lewis Cook 59' yellowcard
  • goal Darwin Nunez 49'
  • yellowcard Conor Bradley 66'
  • goal Diogo Jota 70'
  • goal Diogo Jota 79'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Darwin Nunez 90'+7'
EFL Cup
Bournemouth
Nov 1, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Vitality Stadium
Liverpool
  • Milos Kerkez 53' yellowcard
  • Alex Scott 55' yellowcard
  • Justin Kluivert 64' goal
  • Andoni Iraola 66' yellowcard
  • goal Cody Gakpo 31'
  • yellowcard Cody Gakpo 55'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 70'

Form Data

Real Sociedad 1 - 2 Bournemouth
Bournemouth 2 - 2 Brentford
Bournemouth 4 - 0 Lincoln
Newcastle 2 - 2 Bournemouth
Bournemouth 1 - 1 Everton
Man City 2 - 1 Bournemouth
Liverpool 3 - 1 Spurs
Liverpool 0 - 0 Fulham
Liverpool 2 - 1 Atletico
Ipswich 0 - 2 Liverpool
Liverpool 2 - 2 Nott'm Forest
Newcastle 2 - 2 Liverpool