Champions League Gameweek 1
Sep 9, 2026 8.00pm
Anfield

Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Liverpool win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Atletico Madrid has a probability of 28.51% and a draw has a probability of 24.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win is 1-2 (7.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.55%).

Result

Liverpool 47.34% (+0.34)
Draw 24.11% (-0.08)
Atletico Madrid 28.51% (-0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.99% (+0.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.44% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 20.56% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 58.02% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 41.98% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 34.74% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 65.26% (-0.20)
Over 4.5 20.87% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 79.13% (-0.17)

First Half Winner

Liverpool 39.8%
Draw 37.74%
Atletico Madrid 22.46%

Team To Score First

Liverpool 55.76% (+0.04)
No Goal 5.68% (-0.06)
Atletico Madrid 38.56% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 59.89%
Equal 8 11.07%
Under 8 29.04%
Over 9 48.42%
Equal 9 11.46%
Under 9 40.11%
Over 10.5 37.51%
Under 10.5 62.49%

Liverpool Goals

Over 1.5 49.05% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 50.95% (-0.40)
Over 2.5 24.31% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 75.69% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 9.71% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 90.29% (-0.16)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 64.72% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 35.28% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 33.38% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 66.62% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 13.11% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 86.89% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 4.3% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 95.7% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Liverpool 47.33%
Draw 24.12%
Atletico Madrid 28.5%
Liverpool
2-1 @ 9.41% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 8.52% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.07% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.67% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.3% (+0.03)
Other @ 9.36% (+0.15)
Total : 47.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.55% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.98% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.56% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.35% (+0.01)
Total : 24.12%
Atletico Madrid
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.31% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.35%
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.95% (-0.05)
Total : 28.5%

Head to Head

Champions League
Sep 17, 2025 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Champions League
Nov 3, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Diogo Jota 13' goal
  • Sadio Mane 15' yellowcard
  • Sadio Mane 21' goal
  • Diogo Jota 85' yellowcard
  • Joel Matip 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mario Hermoso 8'
  • redcard Felipe 36'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 37'
  • yellowcard Koke 38'
  • yellowcard Joao Felix 52'
Champions League
Oct 19, 2021 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Antoine Griezmann 20' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 34' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 52' redcard
  • Luis Suarez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Mohamed Salah 8'
  • goal Naby Keita 13'
  • yellowcard James Milner 59'
  • yellowcard Trent Alexander-Arnold 63'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 78'
Champions League
Mar 11, 2020 8.00pm
2
3
ET
  • Georginio Wijnaldum 43' goal
  • Roberto Firmino 94' goal
  • Trent Alexander-Arnold 119' yellowcard
  • goal Marcos Llorente 97'
  • goal Marcos Llorente 105'+1'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Morata 119'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 120'
  • goal Alvaro Morata 120'+1'
Champions League
Feb 18, 2020 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Saul Niguez 4' goal
  • Angel Correa 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sadio Mane 40'
  • yellowcard Joe Gomez 59'
  • yellowcard Joel Matip 88'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Aug 2, 2017 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Keidi Bare 33' goal
  • Sergi 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sadio Mane 22'
  • yellowcard James Milner 24'
  • yellowcard Joe Gomez 44'
  • goal Roberto Firmino 83'