La Liga
Atletico
Aug 23, 2026 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Villarreal
  • Álex Baena 54' yellowcard
  • Marc Pubill 59' goal
  • Robin Le Normand 76' redcard
  • Diego Simeone 76' yellowcard
  • Morten Hjulmand 76' yellowcard
  • Giuliano Simeone 85' goal
  • José María Giménez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Mouriño 50'
  • goal Gerard Moreno  66'
  • goal Georges Mikautadze 78'
  • yellowcard Juan Foyth 90'+10'

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Aug 19, 2026 8.00pm
Atletico 2 - 0 Malaga
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Kang-in Lee

Villarreal

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 4.00pm
Racing 2 - 2 Villarreal
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Pape Gueye

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.52% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%) , while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Atletico Madrid 52.14% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 24.52% ▲ (+0.08)
Villarreal 23.31% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.01% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.21% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 22.79% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 53.69% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 46.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 32.05% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 67.95% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 18.81% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 81.19% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Atletico Madrid 32.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 45.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Villarreal 21.91% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Atletico Madrid 56.4% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 6.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Villarreal 37.35% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.34% ▼ (-0.06)
Equal 8 11.66% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 8 31% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 9 45.5% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.84% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 9 42.66% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 10.5 34.49% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 65.51% ▼ (-0.04)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 50.65% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 49.35% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 24.68% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 75.32% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 9.83% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 90.17% ▲ (+0.04)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 60.04%
Under 0.5 39.96%
Over 1.5 27.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 72.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 9.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 90.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.7%
Under 3.5 97.3%

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 52.15%
Draw 24.51%
Villarreal 23.3%
Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.32% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 52.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42%
0-0 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 24.51%
Villarreal
0-1 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.81%
0-2 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.3%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 38
Villarreal
May 24, 2026 8.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio de la Cerámica
Atletico
  • Dani Parejo 30' yellowcard
  • Ayoze Pérez 34' goal
  • Georges Mikautadze 40' goal
  • Pape Gueye 45' goal
  • Ayoze Pérez 54' goal
  • Alassane Diatta 66' yellowcard
  • Sergi Cardona 67' yellowcard
  • Pau Cabanes 75' yellowcard
  • Logan Costa 75' yellowcard
  • Carlos Macià 88' yellowcard
  • Carlos Macià 89' yellowcard
  • goal Marc Pubill 43'
  • yellowcard Matteo Ruggeri 46'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sørloth 46'
  • yellowcard Aleksa Puric 46'
  • yellowcard Javier Boñar 61'
  • yellowcard Javi Morcillo 61'
La Liga
Atletico
Sep 13, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Villarreal
La Liga Gameweek 21
Atletico
Jan 25, 2025 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Villarreal
  • Jose Gimenez 33' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 52' yellowcard
  • Samuel Lino 58' goal
  • Robin Le Normand 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yeremy Pino 22'
  • goal Gerard Moreno 29'
  • yellowcard Julian Alvarez 63'
  • yellowcard Kiko Femenia 76'
La Liga Gameweek 1
Villarreal
Aug 19, 2024 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
Atletico
  • Yeremy Pino 10' yellowcard
  • Arnaut Danjuma 18' goal
  • Koke 37' goal
  • goal Marcos Llorente 20'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 40'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrios 43'
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Samuel Lino 81'
  • yellowcard Diego Simeone 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Villarreal
Apr 1, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
Atletico
  • Etienne Capoue 27' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sorloth 50' goal
  • Dani Parejo 58' yellowcard
  • Yerson Mosquera 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Axel Witsel 9'
  • yellowcard Antoine Griezmann 26'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrios 62'
  • goal Saul Niguez 87'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Atletico
Nov 12, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Villarreal
  • Axel Witsel 45'+1' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 80' goal
  • Samuel Lino 85' goal
  • goal Gerard Moreno 20'
  • yellowcard Etienne Capoue 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ilias Akhomach 77'

Form Data

Atletico 2 - 0 Malaga
Marseille 1 - 2 Atletico
Man City 3 - 1 Atletico
Man Utd 2 - 1 Atletico
Atletico 4 - 1 Getafe
Villarreal 5 - 1 Atletico
Racing 2 - 2 Villarreal
Galatasaray 1 - 2 Villarreal
Villarreal 1 - 0 Levante
Lens 3 - 1 Villarreal
PSV 1 - 3 Villarreal
Benfica 2 - 0 Villarreal