La Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 23, 2026 4.00pm
Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Aug 19, 2026 8.00pm
Atletico 2 - 0 Malaga

Villarreal

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 4.00pm
Racing 2 - 2 Villarreal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.21%. A draw has a probability of 24.44% and a win for Villarreal has a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.42%) , while for a Villarreal win it is 0-1 (6.17%).

Result

Atletico Madrid 52.21% (+4.32)
Draw 24.44% (-1.25)
Villarreal 23.32% (-3.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.02%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.28% (+0.88)
Under 1.5 22.72% (-0.88)
Over 2.5 53.74% (+1.15)
Under 2.5 46.26% (-1.15)
Over 3.5 32.11% (+0.58)
Under 3.5 67.89% (-0.55)
Over 4.5 18.86% (+0.49)
Under 4.5 81.14% (-0.49)

First Half Winner

Atletico Madrid 32.24% (+1.30)
Draw 45.9% (+0.61)
Villarreal 21.86% (-1.91)

Team To Score First

Atletico Madrid 56.44% (+3.18)
No Goal 6.22% (-0.55)
Villarreal 37.34% (-2.63)

Corners

Over 8 57.4% (-3.56)
Equal 8 11.7% (+0.50)
Under 8 30.9% (+3.05)
Over 9 45.52% (-3.74)
Equal 9 11.88% (+0.20)
Under 9 42.6% (+3.56)
Over 10.5 34.46% (-3.62)
Under 10.5 65.54% (+3.63)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 50.7% (+3.56)
Under 1.5 49.3% (-3.56)
Over 2.5 24.74% (+2.61)
Under 2.5 75.26% (-2.61)
Over 3.5 9.86% (+1.10)
Under 3.5 90.14% (-1.10)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 60.04% (-2.50)
Under 0.5 39.96% (+2.50)
Over 1.5 27.25% (-2.56)
Under 1.5 72.75% (+2.55)
Over 2.5 9.29% (-1.45)
Under 2.5 90.71% (+1.44)
Over 3.5 2.7% (-0.58)
Under 3.5 97.3% (+0.58)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 52.21%
Draw 24.44%
Villarreal 23.32%
Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.3% (+0.33)
2-1 @ 9.68% (+0.57)
2-0 @ 8.78% (+0.76)
3-1 @ 5.52% (+0.60)
3-0 @ 4.91% (+0.80)
3-2 @ 3.3% (+0.17)
Other @ 9.72% (+1.12)
Total : 52.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.42)
0-0 @ 6.22% (-0.55)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.23)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.14% (-0.01)
Total : 24.44%
Villarreal
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.71)
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.45)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.63)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.27)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.16)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.38)
Other @ 2.56% (-0.57)
Total : 23.32%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 38
May 24, 2026 8.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio de la Cerámica
  • Dani Parejo 30' yellowcard
  • Ayoze Pérez 34' goal
  • Georges Mikautadze 40' goal
  • Pape Gueye 45' goal
  • Ayoze Pérez 54' goal
  • Alassane Diatta 66' yellowcard
  • Sergi Cardona 67' yellowcard
  • Pau Cabanes 75' yellowcard
  • Logan Costa 75' yellowcard
  • Carlos Macià 88' yellowcard
  • Carlos Macià 89' yellowcard
  • goal Marc Pubill 43'
  • yellowcard Matteo Ruggeri 46'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sørloth 46'
  • yellowcard Aleksa Puric 46'
  • yellowcard Javier Boñar 61'
  • yellowcard Javi Morcillo 61'
La Liga
Sep 13, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 21
Jan 25, 2025 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Jose Gimenez 33' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 52' yellowcard
  • Samuel Lino 58' goal
  • Robin Le Normand 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yeremy Pino 22'
  • goal Gerard Moreno 29'
  • yellowcard Julian Alvarez 63'
  • yellowcard Kiko Femenia 76'
La Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2024 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
  • Yeremy Pino 10' yellowcard
  • Arnaut Danjuma 18' goal
  • Koke 37' goal
  • goal Marcos Llorente 20'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 40'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrios 43'
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Samuel Lino 81'
  • yellowcard Diego Simeone 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 1, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
  • Etienne Capoue 27' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sorloth 50' goal
  • Dani Parejo 58' yellowcard
  • Yerson Mosquera 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Axel Witsel 9'
  • yellowcard Antoine Griezmann 26'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrios 62'
  • goal Saul Niguez 87'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Nov 12, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Axel Witsel 45'+1' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 80' goal
  • Samuel Lino 85' goal
  • goal Gerard Moreno 20'
  • yellowcard Etienne Capoue 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ilias Akhomach 77'