La Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riyadh Air Metropolitano
  • Dávid Hancko 15' yellowcard
  • Jorge Domínguez 37' yellowcard
  • Kang-in Lee 70' goal
  • Álex Baena 85' goal
  • yellowcard Carlos Puga 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Juan Cruz 80'
  • yellowcard Ramón Enríquez 88'

Atletico Madrid vs Malaga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
May 24, 2026 8.00pm
Villarreal 5 - 1 Atletico
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Kang-in Lee

Malaga

All competitions
Last game
May 19, 2018 5.30pm
Malaga 0 - 1 Getafe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.61% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 22.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%) , while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Atletico Madrid 51.62% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 25.61%
Malaga 22.77% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 51.78% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 48.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 30.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 69.39% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 18.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 81.75% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Atletico Madrid 34.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 43.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Malaga 22.26% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Atletico Madrid 54.35% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 7.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Malaga 38.3% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 60.53% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.98%
Under 8 28.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 9 49.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.41%
Under 9 39.47% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 38.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 61.78% ▲ (+0.04)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 49.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 50.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 23.75% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 76.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.55% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.45% ▼ (-0.01)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5 58.08%
Under 0.5 41.92%
Over 1.5 26.4% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 73.6% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 9.49%
Under 2.5 90.51%
Over 3.5 3.04%
Under 3.5 96.96%

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 51.62%
Draw 25.61%
Malaga 22.76%
Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 11.07% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.19%
2-0 @ 9.12% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.93%
3-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 51.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42%
0-0 @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 25.61%
Malaga
0-1 @ 6.14% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 22.76%

Head to Head

La Liga
Feb 10, 2018 3.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)
  • Manuel Iturra 20' yellowcard
  • Mehdi Lacen 61' yellowcard
  • Youssef En-Nesyri 78' yellowcard
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 1'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 41'
  • yellowcard Sime Vrsaljko 67'
La Liga
Sep 16, 2017 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Antoine Griezmann 61' goal
  • Yannick Carrasco 64' yellowcard
  • Juanfran 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Keko 88'
  • yellowcard Recio 90'
La Liga
Apr 1, 2017 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Juan Carlos 76' yellowcard
  • Recio 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Hernandez 19'
  • goal Koke 26'
  • yellowcard Stefan Savic 31'
  • goal Filipe Luis 74'
La Liga
Oct 29, 2016 5.30pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Yannick Carrasco 7' goal
  • Kevin Gameiro 25' goal
  • Kevin Gameiro 44' goal
  • Stefan Savic 49' yellowcard
  • Stefan Savic 60' redcard
  • Jan Oblak 77' yellowcard
  • Saul Niguez 84' yellowcard
  • Yannick Carrasco 86' goal
  • goal Sandro Ramirez 31'
  • yellowcard Chory Castro 43'
  • goal Ignacio Camacho 64'
  • yellowcard Youssef En Nesiry 69'
  • yellowcard Mikel Villanueva 73'
  • yellowcard Federico Ricca 77'
  • redcard Chory Castro 88'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Camacho 91'
La Liga
Apr 23, 2016 5.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jose Gimenez 54' yellowcard
  • Fernando Torres 57' yellowcard
  • Angel Correa 62' goal
  • Felipe Luis 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charles 25'
  • yellowcard Welligton 29'
  • yellowcard Recio 90'
La Liga
Dec 20, 2015 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Raul Albentosa 45' yellowcard
  • Charles 45' yellowcard
  • Roberto Rosales 74' yellowcard
  • Charles 87' goal
  • yellowcard Filipe Luis 20'
  • yellowcard Luciano Vietto 21'
  • yellowcard Yannick Ferreira Carrasco 45'
  • yellowcard Gabi 51'
  • redcard Gabi 56'
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 83'