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Atletico Madrid vs Malaga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.7%. A draw has a probability of 25.45% and a win for Malaga has a probability of 22.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.47%) , while for a Malaga win it is 0-1 (6.12%).
Result
Atletico Madrid
51.7%
▲
(+0.53)
Draw
25.45%
▲
(+0.04)
Malaga
22.85%
▼
(-0.56)
Both Teams to Score:
52.17%
▼
(-1.54)
Goals
Over 1.5
75.35%
▼
(-1.04)
Under 1.5
24.65%
▲
(+1.03)
Over 2.5
51.46%
▼
(-1.29)
Under 2.5
48.51%
▲
(+1.26)
Over 3.5
30.56%
▼
(-1.06)
Under 3.5
69.44%
▲
(+1.05)
Over 4.5
18.28%
▼
(-0.62)
Under 4.5
81.72%
▲
(+0.63)
First Half Winner
Atletico Madrid
32.93%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
44.97%
▼
(-0.03)
Malaga
22.1%
▲
(+0.05)
Team To Score First
Atletico Madrid
54.66%
▼
(-0.28)
No Goal
7.4%
▲
(+0.41)
Malaga
37.94%
▼
(-0.14)
Corners
Over 8
68.06%
▲
(+0.02)
Equal 8
10.44%
Under 8
21.5%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 9
56.46%
▲
(+0.03)
Equal 9
11.6%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 9
31.94%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 10.5
44.73%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 10.5
55.27%
▼
(-0.03)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 1.5
49%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 1.5
51%
▲
(+0.47)
Over 2.5
23.68%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 2.5
76.32%
▲
(+0.42)
Over 3.5
9.53%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 3.5
90.47%
▲
(+0.25)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5
57.91%
▼
(-1.39)
Under 0.5
42.09%
▲
(+1.39)
Over 1.5
26.27%
▼
(-1.02)
Under 1.5
73.73%
▲
(+1.03)
Over 2.5
9.44%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 2.5
90.56%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 3.5
3.06%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 3.5
96.94%
▲
(+0.10)
Score analysis
Atletico Madrid
51.7%
Draw
25.46%
Malaga
22.85%
Atletico Madrid
1-0
@
11.14%
▲
(+0.61)
2-0 @ 9.19% ▲ (+0.42)
2-1 @ 9.08% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.16)
3-2 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.25)
Total : 51.7%
2-0 @ 9.19% ▲ (+0.42)
2-1 @ 9.08% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.16)
3-2 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.25)
Total : 51.7%
Draw
1-1
@
11.47%
▼
(-0.06)
0-0 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.41)
2-2 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.46%
0-0 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.41)
2-2 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.46%
Malaga
0-1
@
6.12%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.21)
0-2 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 22.85%
1-2 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.21)
0-2 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 22.85%
Head to Head
-
Yannick Carrasco
7'
-
Kevin Gameiro
25'
-
Kevin Gameiro
44'
-
Stefan Savic
49'
-
Stefan Savic
60'
-
Jan Oblak
77'
-
Saul Niguez
84'
-
Yannick Carrasco
86'
-
Sandro Ramirez
31'
-
Chory Castro
43'
-
Ignacio Camacho
64'
-
Youssef En Nesiry
69'
-
Mikel Villanueva
73'
-
Federico Ricca
77'
-
Chory Castro
88'
-
Ignacio Camacho
91'