Club Friendlies 3
Aug 7, 2026 6.00pm
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube

Ceuta vs Malaga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceuta

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 8.00pm
Sevilla 2 - 1 Ceuta

Malaga

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 30, 2026 6.00pm
Malaga 2 - 2 Al Ittihad

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Malaga win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Ceuta has a probability of 25.96% and a draw has a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win is 1-2 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.8%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Ceuta win is 1-0 (7.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.86%).

Result

Ceuta 25.96% (+0.02)
Draw 25.7% (+0.01)
Malaga 48.34% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.31% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.34%
Under 1.5 23.66%
Over 2.5 53.02% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 46.98% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.16% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 69.84% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 16.71% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.29% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Ceuta 24.62% (+0.02)
Draw 43.44% (-0.02)
Malaga 31.95%

Team To Score First

Ceuta 42.1% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.84%
Malaga 51.06% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 63.75%
Equal 8 11.62%
Under 8 24.63%
Over 9 51.22% (+0.01)
Equal 9 12.53%
Under 9 36.25%
Over 10.5 39%
Under 10.5 61%

Ceuta Goals

Over 1.5 29.03% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 70.97% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 9.57% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 90.43% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.56% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.44% (-0.02)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5 78.53%
Under 0.5 21.47%
Over 1.5 47.59% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 52.41% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 21.5% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.5% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.06% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.94% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Ceuta 25.95%
Draw 25.7%
Malaga 48.36%
Ceuta
1-0 @ 7.03%
2-1 @ 6.83%
2-0 @ 3.73% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.45%
3-2 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.43% (+0.02)
Total : 25.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.84%
2-2 @ 5.79%
3-3 @ 1.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13% (+0.02)
Total : 25.7%
Malaga
1-2 @ 10.55% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 9.8%
0-2 @ 7.72% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.21% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.04% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.11%
Other @ 7.93%
Total : 48.36%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 40
May 16, 2026 3.15pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
  • Ignacio Schor 46' yellowcard
  • Aboubacar Bassinga 46' yellowcard
  • Yago Cantero 46' yellowcard
  • Einar Galilea 52' goal
  • Arick Betancourt 77' yellowcard
  • Josema 85' yellowcard
  • goal Joaquín Muñoz 4'
  • goal Chupe 13'
  • goal Chupe 42'
  • yellowcard Ramón Enríquez 46'
  • yellowcard Javi Montero 63'
  • yellowcard Aarón Ochoa 63'
  • yellowcard Julen Lobete 72'
  • yellowcard Darko Brasanac 80'
  • goal Aarón Ochoa 82'
Segunda Division Gameweek 21
Jan 11, 2026 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
LIVE Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Carlos Ruiz Rubio 43' yellowcard
  • Carlos Ruiz Rubio 45'+1' goal
  • Aaron Ochoa Moloney 65' yellowcard
  • 65' yellowcard
  • goal Kuki Zalazar 3'
  • yellowcard Yann Bodiger 26'
  • yellowcard Marc Domenech 65'
  • yellowcard 65'
  • yellowcard Salvi 65'
  • yellowcard Aboubacar Bassinga 66'