Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Almeria win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Malaga win was 1-2 (7.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.