Segunda Division
Jun 20, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos

Almeria vs Malaga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Jun 14, 2026 8.00pm
Malaga 0 - 0 Almeria
Goals scored
81
Top scorer
Sergio Arribas

Malaga

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Jun 14, 2026 8.00pm
Malaga 0 - 0 Almeria
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Chupe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Almeria win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for Malaga has a probability of 27.56% and a draw has a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Almeria win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Malaga win is 1-2 (7.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.84%).

Result

Almeria 48.1% (-0.04)
Draw 24.3% (-0.04)
Malaga 27.56%

Both Teams to Score: 

63.13% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.59% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 18.41% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 60.26% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 39.74% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 37.9% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 62.1% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 22.78% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 77.22% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Almeria 36.19%
Draw 42.24%
Malaga 21.57%

Team To Score First

Almeria 54.07% (+0.01)
No Goal 4.68% (-0.03)
Malaga 41.25% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 54.95%
Equal 8 11.36%
Under 8 33.68%
Over 9 43.63%
Equal 9 11.32%
Under 9 45.05%
Over 10.5 33.24%
Under 10.5 66.76%

Almeria Goals

Over 1.5 51.42% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 48.58% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 25.68% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 74.32% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 10.32% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 89.68% (-0.02)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5 66.45%
Under 0.5 33.55%
Over 1.5 34.71% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 65.29% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 13.26% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 86.74% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.37% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.63% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Almeria 48.1%
Draw 24.3%
Malaga 27.57%
Almeria
2-1 @ 9.69%
1-0 @ 8.06% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.57%
3-2 @ 4%
3-0 @ 3.99% (+0.02)
Other @ 10.01% (+0.02)
Total : 48.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.84% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.67% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 24.3%
Malaga
1-2 @ 7.07% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.64% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.71% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.6%
0-3 @ 1.61% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.06% (+0.01)
Total : 27.57%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Jun 14, 2026 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Rafita Garrido 11' yellowcard
  • Carlos Dotor 35' yellowcard
  • Izan Merino 90' yellowcard
Segunda Division Gameweek 36
Apr 19, 2026 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
  • Adrián Embarba 50' goal
  • Adrián Embarba 63' goal
  • Léo Baptistão 72' yellowcard
  • Gui Guedes 72' yellowcard
  • Thalys 78' yellowcard
  • Jon Morcillo 87' yellowcard
  • Léo Baptistão 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Adrián Niño 64'
  • yellowcard Aarón Ochoa 64'
  • goal Adrián Niño 67'
  • yellowcard Haitam Abaida 82'
  • yellowcard Einar Galilea 82'
  • goal Haitam Abaida 84'
  • yellowcard Ramón Enríquez 90'+2'
Segunda Division
Dec 21, 2025 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dani Lorenzo 33' goal
  • Izan Merino 36' yellowcard
  • Diego Murillo 41' yellowcard
  • Carlos Ruiz Rubio 81' goal
  • Carlos Ruiz Rubio 81' yellowcard
  • 90' yellowcard
  • Carlos Francisco Puga Medina 90' yellowcard
  • Victor Garcia 90'+5' yellowcard
  • 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Munoz 24'
  • yellowcard Daijiro Chirino 27'
  • goal Sergio Arribas 69'
  • yellowcard Nelson Monte 76'
  • yellowcard Dion Lopy 90'+4'
Segunda Division Gameweek 29
Mar 1, 2025 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
  • Leo Baptistao 11' goal
  • Sergio Arribas 53' goal
  • Edgar Gonzalez 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Ochoa Moloney 3'
  • yellowcard Kevin Medina 24'
  • yellowcard Nelson Monte 33'
  • goal Daniel Rodriguez Sanchez 55'
  • goal A 62'
  • yellowcard Luismi 68'
Segunda Division Gameweek 18
Dec 8, 2024 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Fernando Martinez 12' goal
  • Manu Molina 51' yellowcard
  • Luismi 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marc Pubill 20'
  • yellowcard Rubi 21'
  • yellowcard Bruno Langa 49'
  • yellowcard Dion Lopy 51'
  • yellowcard Chumi 56'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez Charris 63'
  • goal Alex Pastor 90'+7' (OG)
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 27, 2024 6.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • 64' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Centelles 24'
  • yellowcard 57'
  • yellowcard 87'