Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 1-2 (7.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.