Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 54.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.62% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 22.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.57%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%) , while for a Almeria win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.