Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.33% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 20.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%) , while for a Eibar win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.