Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.84% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 15.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%) , while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.