Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo La Coruna win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo La Coruna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.