Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.87% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 25.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%) , while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.