Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 (7.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.