Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.33% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 16.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (10.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%) , while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.