Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Ceuta had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Albacete win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Ceuta win was 1-0 (8.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.