Club Friendlies 3
Jul 17, 2026 7.45pm
Estádio Algarve

Benfica vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 7.30pm
Benfica 1 - 2 Flamengo

Villarreal

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 61.82%. A draw has a probability of 20.68% and a win for Villarreal has a probability of 17.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.79%) , while for a Villarreal win it is 1-2 (5.01%).

Result

Benfica 61.82% (-0.01)
Draw 20.68%
Villarreal 17.45% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.72%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.92% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 19.08% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 59.37%
Under 2.5 40.63%
Over 3.5 36.48%
Under 3.5 63.52%
Over 4.5 23.26% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 76.74% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Benfica 45.02% (+0.02)
Draw 37.44% (-0.03)
Villarreal 17.55% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Benfica 66.28%
No Goal 4.6%
Villarreal 29.12%

Corners

Over 8 63.56%
Equal 8 10.67%
Under 8 25.77%
Over 9 52.18%
Equal 9 11.38%
Under 9 36.44%
Over 10.5 41.05%
Under 10.5 58.95%

Benfica Goals

Over 1.5 59.88% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 40.12% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 33.07% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 66.93% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 14.67% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 85.33% (+0.02)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 54.87% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 45.13% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 23.28% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 76.72% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 6.9% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 93.1% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 1.87%
Under 3.5 98.13%

Score analysis

Benfica 61.82%
Draw 20.68%
Villarreal 17.44%
Benfica
2-1 @ 10.54%
1-0 @ 9.81%
2-0 @ 9.62% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.65%
3-0 @ 6.49%
3-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 14.55% (-0.01)
Total : 61.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.79%
2-2 @ 5.07%
0-0 @ 4.6%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.68%
Villarreal
1-2 @ 5.01%
0-1 @ 4.61% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 17.44%