La Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2026 8.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
  • Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega 66' goal
  • Isaac Romero 89' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Suazo  90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Álex Baena 4'
  • goal Ademola Lookman 26'
  • goal Álex Baena 33'
  • yellowcard Marcos Llorente 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Marc Pubill 90'+5'

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 4.00pm
Athletic Bilbao 1 - 3 Sevilla
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 4.00pm
Atletico 2 - 2 Villarreal
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Álex Baena

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result

Sevilla 36.86% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 26.82% ▼ (-0.04)
Atletico Madrid 36.32% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.28% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 50.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 49.27% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28.86%
Under 3.5 71.14%
Over 4.5 15.86%
Under 4.5 84.14%

First Half Winner

Sevilla 30.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 45.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Atletico Madrid 24.36% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Sevilla 50.51% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 7.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Atletico Madrid 42.44% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 49.93%
Equal 8 12.32%
Under 8 37.75%
Over 9 38.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.8%
Under 9 50.07%
Over 10.5 27.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 72.22% ▼ (-0.02)

Sevilla Goals

Over 1.5 37.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 62.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 14.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.3% ▲ (+0.01)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 70.56%
Under 0.5 29.44%
Over 1.5 37.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 62.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 15.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 84.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.78% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Sevilla 36.86%
Draw 26.82%
Atletico Madrid 36.33%
Sevilla
1-0 @ 9.08% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.39%
2-0 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45%
Other @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 36.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.6% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 26.82%
Atletico Madrid
0-1 @ 8.63%
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-2 @ 5.84%
1-3 @ 3.53%
0-3 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 36.33%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 31
Apr 11, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
  • Akor Adams 10' yellowcard
  • Nemanja Gudelj 45'+2' goal
  • Peque Fernández 70' yellowcard
  • Djibril Sow 70' yellowcard
  • Alexis Sánchez 78' yellowcard
  • Batista Mendy 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Suazo 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Javier Boñar 35'
  • yellowcard Javi Morcillo 71'
  • yellowcard Ademola Lookman 71'
  • yellowcard Jano Monserrate 86'
La Liga
Nov 1, 2025 3.15pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 6, 2025 3.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
  • Lucien Agoume 7' goal
  • Kike Salas 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Julian Alvarez 25'
  • yellowcard Giuliano Simeone 51'
  • yellowcard Clement Lenglet 57'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 85'
  • goal Pablo Barrios 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sorloth 90'+6'
La Liga Gameweek 16
Dec 8, 2024 8.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Rodrigo De Paul 10' goal
  • Pablo Barrios 48' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 62' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 72' yellowcard
  • Samuel Lino 79' goal
  • Javi Galan 87' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 90'+4' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Dodi Lukebakio 12'
  • goal Isaac Romero 32'
  • yellowcard Lucien Agoume 49'
  • goal Juanlu Sanchez 57'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Fernandez 67'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 76'
La Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2024 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
  • Isaac Romero 15' goal
  • Suso 70' yellowcard
  • Youssef En-Nesyri 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Axel Witsel 26'
Copa del Rey
Jan 25, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Jose Gimenez 63' yellowcard
  • Mario Hermoso 71' yellowcard
  • Koke 75' yellowcard
  • Memphis Depay 79' goal
  • Diego Simeone 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oliver Torres 33'
  • yellowcard Sergio Ramos 39'
  • yellowcard Adria Pedrosa 62'
  • yellowcard Erik Lamela 73'
  • yellowcard Ivan Rakitic 82'
  • yellowcard Rafa Mir 90'+8'