La Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 15, 2026 8.30pm
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
Last game
May 23, 2026 8.00pm
Celta Vigo 1 - 0 Sevilla

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
May 23, 2026 8.00pm
Alaves 1 - 2 Rayo Vallecano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sevilla win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 29.02% and a draw has a probability of 26.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win is 0-1 (7.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.2%).

Result

Sevilla 44.61% (+0.04)
Draw 26.33% (-0.10)
Rayo Vallecano 29.02% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.91% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 26.09% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 49.53% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 50.43% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 28% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 72% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 15.46% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 84.54% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Sevilla 30.6% (+0.03)
Draw 47.44% (-0.03)
Rayo Vallecano 21.97% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Sevilla 55.17% (+0.02)
No Goal 7.59% (-0.03)
Rayo Vallecano 37.24% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 51.16% (-0.09)
Equal 8 12.02% (+0.01)
Under 8 36.83% (+0.08)
Over 9 39.54% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 48.84% (+0.09)
Over 10.5 29.21% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 70.79% (+0.08)

Sevilla Goals

Over 1.5 42.56% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 57.44% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 18.12% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 81.88% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.12% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.88% (-0.02)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 64.46% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 35.54% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 30.55% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 69.45% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 10.92%
Under 2.5 89.08%
Over 3.5 3.5%
Under 3.5 96.5%

Score analysis

Sevilla 44.62%
Draw 26.34%
Rayo Vallecano 29.02%
Sevilla
1-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 9.38%
2-0 @ 7.61%
3-1 @ 4.49% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.63% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.05% (+0.02)
Total : 44.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.2% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.59% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.07% (-0.01)
Total : 26.34%
Rayo Vallecano
0-1 @ 7.84%
1-2 @ 6.83%
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.64% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 3.43% (+0.02)
Total : 29.02%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 8, 2026 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
  • Akor Adams 13' goal
  • José Ángel Carmona 59' yellowcard
  • Isaac Romero 67' yellowcard
  • 67' yellowcard
  • Chidera Ejuke 67' yellowcard
  • Chidera Ejuke 68' yellowcard
  • Isaac Romero 68' yellowcard
  • Batista Mendy 84' yellowcard
  • goal Alfonso Espino 50'
  • yellowcard Ilias Akhomach 58'
  • yellowcard Unai López 67'
  • yellowcard Álvaro García 67'
  • yellowcard 67'
  • yellowcard Pedro Díaz 86'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Zurawski 86'
La Liga
Sep 28, 2025 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 1, 2025 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Andrei Ratiu 55' goal
  • Gerard Gumbau 87' yellowcard
  • goal Dodi Lukebakio 81'
La Liga Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2024 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
  • Djibril Sow 27' goal
  • Loic Bade 40' yellowcard
  • Kike Salas 47' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jorge de Frutos 9'
  • yellowcard Florian Lejeune 20'
  • yellowcard Oscar Valentin 31'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Garcia 37'
  • redcard Unai Lopez 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Augusto Batalla 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Isi 29' goal
  • Miguel Crespo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Stole Dimitrievski 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Youssef En-Nesyri 19'
  • yellowcard Isaac Romero 36'
  • goal Youssef En-Nesyri 45'
  • yellowcard Marcos Acuna 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Hannibal Mejbri 85'
La Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 7, 2023 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
  • Nemanja Gudelj 36' yellowcard
  • Djibril Sow 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Djibril Sow 50' goal
  • Suso 67' yellowcard
  • Jesus Navas 84' yellowcard
  • Youssef En-Nesyri 90'+6' goal
  • Joan Jordan 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Oscar Valentin 21'
  • goal Alvaro Garcia 26'
  • yellowcard Aridane Hernandez 74'
  • yellowcard Kike Perez 84'