Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (8.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.