Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 23, 2026 4.30pm
St. James' Park

Newcastle United vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
May 24, 2026 4.00pm
Fulham 2 - 0 Newcastle

Liverpool

All competitions
Last game
May 24, 2026 4.00pm
Liverpool 1 - 1 Brentford

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Liverpool has a probability of 37.05% and a draw has a probability of 23.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Liverpool win is 1-2 (8.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.95%).

Result

Newcastle United 39.14% (-0.04)
Draw 23.81% (+0.02)
Liverpool 37.05% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.6% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.94% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 18.06% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 60.52% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 39.48% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 36.94% (-0.29)
Under 3.5 63.06% (+0.33)
Over 4.5 22.16% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 77.84% (+0.24)

First Half Winner

Newcastle United 31.82% (-0.06)
Draw 38.98% (+0.05)
Liverpool 29.2% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Newcastle United 49.21% (-0.04)
No Goal 4.68% (+0.05)
Liverpool 46.11% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.07% (+0.11)
Equal 8 10.96% (-0.01)
Under 8 31.97% (-0.11)
Over 9 45.97% (+0.12)
Equal 9 11.1% (-0.01)
Under 9 42.93% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 35.59% (+0.12)
Under 10.5 64.41% (-0.13)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 1.5 43.85% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 56.15% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 19.85% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 80.15% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 7.23% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 92.77% (+0.11)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 73.03% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 26.97% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 42.09% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 57.91% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 18.55% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 81.45% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 6.61% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 93.39% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 39.14%
Draw 23.81%
Liverpool 37.07%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 8.96%
1-0 @ 6.74% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 5.42% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.09% (-0.09)
Total : 39.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.95% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 6.35% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.68% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.14% (-0.02)
Total : 23.81%
Liverpool
1-2 @ 8.66% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.66% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 5.03% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.07%
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.91%
Other @ 6.47% (-0.05)
Total : 37.07%

Head to Head

Premier League
Jan 31, 2026 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 4 1
FT Anfield
  • Hugo Ekitike 41' goal
  • Hugo Ekitiké 41' goal
  • Hugo Ekitike 43' goal
  • Hugo Ekitiké 43' goal
  • Florian Wirtz 67' goal
  • Federico Chiesa 84' yellowcard
  • Curtis Jones 84' yellowcard
  • Wataru Endo 87' yellowcard
  • Ibrahima Konate 90'+3' goal
  • Ibrahima Konaté 90'+3' goal
  • goal Anthony Gordon 36'
  • yellowcard Jacob Murphy 73'
  • yellowcard Nick Woltemade 73'
  • yellowcard Yoane Wissa 73'
  • yellowcard Will Osula 84'
  • yellowcard William Osula 84'
  • yellowcard Alex Murphy 89'
Premier League
Aug 25, 2025 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Cup
Mar 16, 2025 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Wembley Stadium
  • Federico Chiesa 90'+4' goal
  • Federico Chiesa 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Dan Burn 45'
  • goal Alexander Isak 52'
  • yellowcard Nick Pope 90'
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 90'+9'
Premier League Gameweek 27
Feb 26, 2025 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Anfield
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 11' goal
  • Alexis Mac Allister 63' goal
  • yellowcard Jacob Murphy 80'
Premier League Gameweek 14
Dec 4, 2024 7.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Alexander Isak 35' goal
  • Sandro Tonali 58' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 62' goal
  • Fabian Schar 90' goal
  • Nick Pope 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexis Mac Allister 20'
  • yellowcard Jarell Quansah 42'
  • yellowcard Ryan Gravenberch 45'
  • goal Curtis Jones 50'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 68'
  • yellowcard Trent Alexander-Arnold 69'
  • yellowcard Darwin Nunez 71'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 83'
Premier League Gameweek 20
Jan 1, 2024 8.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT Anfield
  • Luis Diaz 18' goal
  • Luis Diaz 45' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Salah 49' goal
  • Trent Alexander-Arnold 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Wataru Endo 66' yellowcard
  • Curtis Jones 74' goal
  • Cody Gakpo 78' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 86' goal
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 28'
  • yellowcard Lewis Miley 45'+2'
  • goal Alexander Isak 54'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 66'
  • goal Sven Botman 81'
  • yellowcard Martin Dubravka 84'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 89'