Premier League
Aug 23, 2026 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Anthony Elanga 5' goal
  • Yoane Wissa 25' yellowcard
  • Lewis Miley  34' yellowcard
  • Joe Willock 57' goal
  • Jacob Ramsey 65' yellowcard
  • Jacob Murphy 79' yellowcard
  • Lukas Hornicek 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Milos Kerkez 30'
  • yellowcard Jeremie Frimpong 30'
  • goal Cody Gakpo 55'
  • yellowcard Virgil van Dijk  90'
  • goal Dominik Szoboszlai 90'+9'

Newcastle United vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
May 24, 2026 4.00pm
Fulham 2 - 0 Newcastle
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Anthony Elanga

Liverpool

All competitions
Last game
May 24, 2026 4.00pm
Liverpool 1 - 1 Brentford
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Alexander Isak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 37.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (8.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

Newcastle United 39.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 23.86% ▲ (+0.06)
Liverpool 37.04% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.51% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.81% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 18.19% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 60.39% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 39.61% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 36.77% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 63.23% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 4.5 22.02% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 77.98% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Newcastle United 31.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 38.97% ▼ (-0.03)
Liverpool 29.25% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Newcastle United 49.17% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 4.72% ▲ (+0.05)
Liverpool 46.11% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 31.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 46.01% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.1%
Under 9 42.88% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 35.63% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 64.37% ▼ (-0.04)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 1.5 43.73% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 56.27% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 19.74% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 80.26% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 7.17% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 92.83% ▲ (+0.05)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 72.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 27.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 42% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 58% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 18.48% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 81.52% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.42% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 39.09%
Draw 23.85%
Liverpool 37.04%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 8.97% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.06%
Other @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 39.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.97% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.85%
Liverpool
1-2 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.91%
Other @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 37.04%

Head to Head

Premier League
Jan 31, 2026 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 4 1
FT Anfield
  • Hugo Ekitike 41' goal
  • Hugo Ekitiké 41' goal
  • Hugo Ekitike 43' goal
  • Hugo Ekitiké 43' goal
  • Florian Wirtz 67' goal
  • Federico Chiesa 84' yellowcard
  • Curtis Jones 84' yellowcard
  • Wataru Endo 87' yellowcard
  • Ibrahima Konate 90'+3' goal
  • Ibrahima Konaté 90'+3' goal
  • goal Anthony Gordon 36'
  • yellowcard Jacob Murphy 73'
  • yellowcard Nick Woltemade 73'
  • yellowcard Yoane Wissa 73'
  • yellowcard Will Osula 84'
  • yellowcard William Osula 84'
  • yellowcard Alex Murphy 89'
Premier League
Aug 25, 2025 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Cup
Mar 16, 2025 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Wembley Stadium
  • Federico Chiesa 90'+4' goal
  • Federico Chiesa 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Dan Burn 45'
  • goal Alexander Isak 52'
  • yellowcard Nick Pope 90'
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 90'+9'
Premier League Gameweek 27
Feb 26, 2025 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Anfield
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 11' goal
  • Alexis Mac Allister 63' goal
  • yellowcard Jacob Murphy 80'
Premier League Gameweek 14
Dec 4, 2024 7.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Alexander Isak 35' goal
  • Sandro Tonali 58' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 62' goal
  • Fabian Schar 90' goal
  • Nick Pope 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexis Mac Allister 20'
  • yellowcard Jarell Quansah 42'
  • yellowcard Ryan Gravenberch 45'
  • goal Curtis Jones 50'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 68'
  • yellowcard Trent Alexander-Arnold 69'
  • yellowcard Darwin Nunez 71'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 83'
Premier League Gameweek 20
Jan 1, 2024 8.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT Anfield
  • Luis Diaz 18' goal
  • Luis Diaz 45' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Salah 49' goal
  • Trent Alexander-Arnold 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Wataru Endo 66' yellowcard
  • Curtis Jones 74' goal
  • Cody Gakpo 78' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 86' goal
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 28'
  • yellowcard Lewis Miley 45'+2'
  • goal Alexander Isak 54'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 66'
  • goal Sven Botman 81'
  • yellowcard Martin Dubravka 84'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 89'

Build-up

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