Premier League Gameweek 3
Sep 5, 2026 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT St. James' Park
  • Anthony Elanga 28' yellowcard
  • Harvey Barnes 37' goal
  • Yoane Wissa 57' yellowcard
  • Matthias Jaissle 71' yellowcard
  • Jacob Ramsey 88' goal
  • goal Marcus Tavernier 9'
  • goal Malick Thiaw 35' (OG)
  • yellowcard Justin Kluivert 66'
  • yellowcard Adrien Truffert 87'
  • yellowcard Adam Smith  90'+4'

Newcastle United vs Bournemouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Reaction

News

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 5.30pm
Spurs 0 - 2 Newcastle
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Anthony Elanga

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Bournemouth 1 - 1 Everton
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Marcus Tavernier

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (8.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Newcastle United 39.29% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 26.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Bournemouth 33.93% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.22%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.36% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 26.64% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 50.86% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 49.14% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 30.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 69.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.19% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Newcastle United 34.62% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 39.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Bournemouth 26.34% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Newcastle United 51.24%
No Goal 8.33%
Bournemouth 40.43%

Corners

Over 8 65.72%
Equal 8 10.58%
Under 8 23.7%
Over 9 54.21%
Equal 9 11.51%
Under 9 34.28%
Over 10.5 42.77%
Under 10.5 57.23%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 1.5 39.58% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 60.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.63%
Under 2.5 82.37%
Over 3.5 6.71%
Under 3.5 93.29%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 67.35% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 32.65% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 34.94% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 65.06% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 13.8% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 86.2% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.36% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 39.28%
Draw 26.74%
Bournemouth 33.93%
Newcastle United
1-0 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.79%
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-2 @ 2.91%
3-0 @ 2.7%
Other @ 6.48%
Total : 39.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35%
0-0 @ 8.33%
2-2 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 26.74%
Bournemouth
0-1 @ 8.96% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.26% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 33.93%

Head to Head

Premier League
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT St. James' Park
  • Kieran Trippier 46' yellowcard
  • Jacob Murphy 62' yellowcard
  • Jacob Ramsey 62' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimarães 62' yellowcard
  • William Osula 68' goal
  • Dan Burn 74' yellowcard
  • Nick Woltemade 86' yellowcard
  • goal Marcus Tavernier 32'
  • yellowcard Tyler Adams 65'
  • yellowcard David Brooks 66'
  • yellowcard Ben Gannon-Doak 78'
  • goal Adrien Truffert 85'
  • yellowcard Enes Ünal 89'
  • yellowcard Alex Tóth 89'
FA Cup
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
St. James' Park
Premier League
Sep 21, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 22
Jan 18, 2025 12.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT St. James' Park
  • Bruno Guimaraes 25' goal
  • Joelinton 45'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Justin Kluivert 6'
  • goal Justin Kluivert 44'
  • yellowcard Tyler Adams 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Justin Kluivert 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Ryan Christie 70'
  • yellowcard Daniel Jebbison 75'
  • yellowcard Dango Ouattara 77'
  • goal Justin Kluivert 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Daniel Jebbison 90'+2'
  • goal Milos Kerkez 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Milos Kerkez 90'+7'
Premier League Gameweek 2
Aug 25, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Ryan Christie 13' yellowcard
  • Marcus Tavernier 37' goal
  • Marcos Senesi 88' yellowcard
  • Andoni Iraola 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Anthony Gordon 76'
  • yellowcard Dan Burn 89'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 25
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Anthony Gordon 58' goal
  • Fabian Schar 87' yellowcard
  • Matt Ritchie 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Christie 44'
  • goal Dominic Solanke 51'
  • yellowcard Marcos Senesi 52'
  • yellowcard Illia Zabarnyi 62'
  • goal Antoine Semenyo 69'

Build-up

Predicted Lineups