Premier League Gameweek 3
Sep 5, 2026 12.30pm
St. James' Park

Newcastle United vs Bournemouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 5.30pm
Spurs 0 - 2 Newcastle
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Anthony Elanga

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Bournemouth 1 - 1 Everton
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Marcus Tavernier

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Bournemouth has a probability of 32.91% and a draw has a probability of 27.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Bournemouth win is 0-1 (8.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.5%).

Result

Newcastle United 40.11%
Draw 27.01%
Bournemouth 32.91%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.65%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.22%
Under 1.5 26.78%
Over 2.5 50.45%
Under 2.5 49.55%
Over 3.5 29.8%
Under 3.5 70.2%
Over 4.5 17.05%
Under 4.5 82.95%

First Half Winner

Newcastle United 34.04%
Draw 40.47%
Bournemouth 25.49%

Team To Score First

Newcastle United 51.55%
No Goal 8.41%
Bournemouth 40.04%

Corners

Over 8 63.33%
Equal 8 10.76%
Under 8 25.92%
Over 9 51.87%
Equal 9 11.46%
Under 9 36.67%
Over 10.5 40.68%
Under 10.5 59.32%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 1.5 40%
Under 1.5 60%
Over 2.5 17.86%
Under 2.5 82.14%
Over 3.5 6.66%
Under 3.5 93.34%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 66.59%
Under 0.5 33.41%
Over 1.5 33.95%
Under 1.5 66.05%
Over 2.5 12.96%
Under 2.5 87.04%
Over 3.5 4.19%
Under 3.5 95.81%

Score analysis

Newcastle United 40.13%
Draw 27.01%
Bournemouth 32.9%
Newcastle United
1-0 @ 9.53%
2-1 @ 8.16%
2-0 @ 6.03%
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-0 @ 3.01%
3-2 @ 2.83%
Other @ 6.47%
Total : 40.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 8.41%
2-2 @ 5.65%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 27.01%
Bournemouth
0-1 @ 8.88%
1-2 @ 7.29%
0-2 @ 5.22%
1-3 @ 3.02%
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 2.19%
Other @ 4%
Total : 32.9%

Head to Head

Premier League
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT St. James' Park
  • Kieran Trippier 46' yellowcard
  • Jacob Murphy 62' yellowcard
  • Jacob Ramsey 62' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimarães 62' yellowcard
  • William Osula 68' goal
  • Dan Burn 74' yellowcard
  • Nick Woltemade 86' yellowcard
  • goal Marcus Tavernier 32'
  • yellowcard Tyler Adams 65'
  • yellowcard David Brooks 66'
  • yellowcard Ben Gannon-Doak 78'
  • goal Adrien Truffert 85'
  • yellowcard Enes Ünal 89'
  • yellowcard Alex Tóth 89'
FA Cup
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
St. James' Park
Premier League
Sep 21, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 22
Jan 18, 2025 12.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT St. James' Park
  • Bruno Guimaraes 25' goal
  • Joelinton 45'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Justin Kluivert 6'
  • goal Justin Kluivert 44'
  • yellowcard Tyler Adams 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Justin Kluivert 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Ryan Christie 70'
  • yellowcard Daniel Jebbison 75'
  • yellowcard Dango Ouattara 77'
  • goal Justin Kluivert 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Daniel Jebbison 90'+2'
  • goal Milos Kerkez 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Milos Kerkez 90'+7'
Premier League Gameweek 2
Aug 25, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Ryan Christie 13' yellowcard
  • Marcus Tavernier 37' goal
  • Marcos Senesi 88' yellowcard
  • Andoni Iraola 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Anthony Gordon 76'
  • yellowcard Dan Burn 89'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 25
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Anthony Gordon 58' goal
  • Fabian Schar 87' yellowcard
  • Matt Ritchie 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Christie 44'
  • goal Dominic Solanke 51'
  • yellowcard Marcos Senesi 52'
  • yellowcard Illia Zabarnyi 62'
  • goal Antoine Semenyo 69'