Club Friendlies 3
Aug 15, 2026 2.30pm
Mewa Arena

Mainz 05 vs Bournemouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 4.00pm
Mainz 4 - 0 Paris FC

Bournemouth

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 8.00pm
Betis 2 - 2 Bournemouth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Bournemouth has a probability of 26.77% and a draw has a probability of 26.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Bournemouth win is 1-2 (6.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.47%).

Result

Mainz 05 47.02% (+0.04)
Draw 26.22% (-0.02)
Bournemouth 26.77%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.92%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.82% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 21.18% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 56.46%
Under 2.5 43.54%
Over 3.5 34.48%
Under 3.5 65.52%
Over 4.5 20.09% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 79.91% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Mainz 05 37.32%
Draw 40.18%
Bournemouth 22.5%

Team To Score First

Mainz 05 56.18% (-0.08)
No Goal 5.99% (-0.01)
Bournemouth 37.83% (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 66.82% (+0.06)
Equal 8 10.35%
Under 8 22.83% (-0.06)
Over 9 55.47% (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.35% (+0.01)
Under 9 33.18% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 44.09% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 55.91% (-0.05)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 1.5 48.84% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 51.16% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 22.67% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 77.33% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.01%
Under 3.5 90.99%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 65.22% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 34.78% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 33.04% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 66.96% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.15% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.85% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.16%
Under 3.5 95.84%

Score analysis

Mainz 05 47.02%
Draw 26.21%
Bournemouth 26.76%
Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.87% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.12%
2-0 @ 7.16%
3-1 @ 4.78%
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 3.59%
Other @ 8.68%
Total : 47.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.47%
2-2 @ 6.95% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 26.21%
Bournemouth
1-2 @ 6.62%
0-1 @ 6.06% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.73%
1-3 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 2.19%
0-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 26.76%