Club Friendlies 3
Jul 24, 2026 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Ben Gannon-Doak 25' goal
  • Harold William 37' goal
  • Daniel Jebbison 47' goal
  • Bafodé Diakité 52' goal
  • goal Martijn Kaars 22'
  • yellowcard Joel Chima Fujita 36'
  • yellowcard 36'

Bournemouth vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions

St Pauli

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 19, 2026 3.00pm
Gorica 1 - 2 St Pauli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (7.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%).

Result

Bournemouth 47.95% (+0.18)
Draw 24.96% (-0.01)
St Pauli 27.14% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.63% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.53% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 23.47% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 52.14% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 47.86% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 30.31% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 69.69% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 17.11% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 82.89% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Bournemouth 36.13% (-0.01)
Draw 40.71% (+0.04)
St Pauli 23.16% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Bournemouth 51.42% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.17% (+0.01)
St Pauli 42.41% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 64.31% (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.54%
Under 8 25.15% (+0.03)
Over 9 53.01% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.31%
Under 9 35.69% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 41.88% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 58.12% (+0.02)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 1.5 46.5% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 53.5% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 21.42% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 78.58% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 7.74% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 92.26% (-0.02)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 63.96% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 36.04% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 29.67% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 70.33% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 10.13% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 89.87% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 2.97% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 97.03% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Bournemouth 47.95%
Draw 24.98%
St Pauli 27.14%
Bournemouth
1-0 @ 10.06% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.57% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.95% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.14% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.2% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.73% (+0.03)
Total : 47.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.27% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.17% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.98%
St Pauli
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.96% (-0.05)
Total : 27.14%