Club Friendlies 3
Jul 24, 2026 3.00pm
Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions

St Pauli

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 19, 2026 1.00am
Gorica 0 - 0 St Pauli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bournemouth win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for St Pauli has a probability of 31.68% and a draw has a probability of 26.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest St Pauli win is 0-1 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.87%).

Result

Bournemouth 41.85%
Draw 26.47%
St Pauli 31.68%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.16%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.5%
Under 1.5 23.5%
Over 2.5 52.4%
Under 2.5 47.6%
Over 3.5 29.89%
Under 3.5 70.11%
Over 4.5 16.44%
Under 4.5 83.56%

First Half Winner

Bournemouth 32.58%
Draw 41.28%
St Pauli 26.15%

Team To Score First

Bournemouth 50.47%
No Goal 6.4%
St Pauli 43.13%

Corners

Over 8 65.82%
Equal 8 10.77%
Under 8 23.4%
Over 9 54.08%
Equal 9 11.75%
Under 9 34.18%
Over 10.5 42.4%
Under 10.5 57.6%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 1.5 42.1%
Under 1.5 57.9%
Over 2.5 17.96%
Under 2.5 82.04%
Over 3.5 6%
Under 3.5 94%

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 68.2%
Under 0.5 31.8%
Over 1.5 34.02%
Under 1.5 65.98%
Over 2.5 13.1%
Under 2.5 86.9%
Over 3.5 4%
Under 3.5 96%

Score analysis

Bournemouth 41.85%
Draw 26.47%
St Pauli 31.67%
Bournemouth
1-0 @ 9.39%
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 6.66%
3-1 @ 4.44%
3-0 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 2.85%
Other @ 5.91%
Total : 41.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 5.87%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 26.47%
St Pauli
0-1 @ 7.7%
1-2 @ 7.63%
0-2 @ 4.57%
1-3 @ 3.14%
2-3 @ 2.44%
0-3 @ 2.28%
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 31.67%