Bundesliga Gameweek 34
May 16, 2026 2.30pm
Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli vs Wolfsburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
May 9, 2026 2.30pm
RB Leipzig 2 - 1 St Pauli
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Abdoulie Ceesay

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last game
May 9, 2026 5.30pm
Wolfsburg 0 - 1 Bayern
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Dzenan Pejcinovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for St Pauli has a probability of 35.51% and a draw has a probability of 26.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest St Pauli win is 1-0 (8.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.99%).

Result

St Pauli 35.51% (-0.04)
Draw 26.26%
Wolfsburg 38.22% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.32% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.95% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 26.05% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 49.86% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 50.14% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 28.65% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 71.35% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.98% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.02% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

St Pauli 30.62%
Draw 43.3%
Wolfsburg 26.08%

Team To Score First

St Pauli 51.64% (-0.01)
No Goal 7.55% (+0.01)
Wolfsburg 40.81%

Corners

Over 8 65.12%
Equal 8 10.78%
Under 8 24.09%
Over 9 53.44%
Equal 9 11.68%
Under 9 34.88%
Over 10.5 41.9%
Under 10.5 58.1%

St Pauli Goals

Over 1.5 35.67% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.33% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 14.51% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 85.49% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.05% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.95% (+0.02)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5 70.42%
Under 0.5 29.58%
Over 1.5 37.76% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 62.24% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 15.52% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 84.48% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 5.32%
Under 3.5 94.68%

Score analysis

St Pauli 35.52%
Draw 26.26%
Wolfsburg 38.23%
St Pauli
1-0 @ 8.94%
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.88%
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.44%
3-2 @ 2.38%
Other @ 4.78% (-0.01)
Total : 35.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 7.55% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 26.26%
Wolfsburg
0-1 @ 9.57% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.33%
0-2 @ 6.21% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.85%
0-3 @ 2.85% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.37%
Other @ 5.05%
Total : 38.23%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2026 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Volkswagen Arena
  • Christian Eriksen 25' yellowcard
  • Mohamed El Amine Amoura 61' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Amoura 61' yellowcard
  • Adam Daghim 73' yellowcard
  • Kilian Fischer 73' yellowcard
  • Kevin Paredes 83' yellowcard
  • Mattias Svanberg 83' yellowcard
  • Dzenan Pejcinovic 88' goal
  • goal Eric Smith 40'
  • yellowcard Louis Oppie 68'
  • yellowcard Martijn Kaars 68'
  • yellowcard Abdoulie Ceesay 90'
Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
  • Mohamed El Amine Amoura 46' yellowcard
  • Mohamed El Amine Amoura 70' goal
  • goal Siebe Van der Heyden 38'
Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Oct 26, 2024 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • yellowcard Jakub Kaminski 76'
  • yellowcard Joakim Maehle 82'
  • yellowcard Lovro Majer 90'